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Wizards president Tommy Sheppard confident Bradley Beal will re-sign

Sheppard confident Bradley Beal will re-sign with Wizards originally appeared on NBC Sports Washington

In less than three months, the Wizards will arrive at a crossroads with Bradley Beal’s contract future, but team president Tommy Sheppard is confident in where things stand between the two sides.

While Beal essentially declined the team’s contract offer in October, as all he had to do was wait to earn more money, he also indicated in February he is leaning toward staying. Sheppard doesn’t expect to know Beal’s official answer until free agency opens in July, but does not seem to be very worried he will leave.

“With the way that the NBA calendar is set up, we can’t do anything earlier than July 1. I can just go off of 10 years of a relationship with him. I think he feels comfortable here, we certainly feel comfortable with him here. It’s a good fit,” Sheppard said.

While Beal can’t officially agree to a new contract until July, having some sort of assurance would be helpful for the Wizards, who in many ways have to plan their offseason around him. He is not only their best and most accomplished player, he could account for as much as 35% of the salary cap on his next contract. Beal is eligible to sign a five-year deal worth upwards of a projected $245 million.

Beal missed the final 2 1/2 months of the 2021-22 season due to a left wrist injury, but was able to watch from the sidelines what his potential supporting cast could look like next year. Former All-Star Kristaps Porzingis was acquired at the trade deadline and played well down the stretch. So did their young players; namely Rui Hachimura, Deni Avdija, Daniel Gafford and Corey Kispert.

Sheppard sees mutual interest with Beal in continuing their partnership.

“I feel every indication he’s given me is that he wants to be here moving forward. I stick to the 10 years of confidence I have in the relationship we’ve had. It’s a lot of time, a lot of equity and a lot of conversations. I feel that we’ve shown this is a place we can build around him. I think he’s shown to the community here that when he’s healthy he’s one of the best players at his position. Those are hard to come by,” Sheppard said. 

Beal still has a cast on his left wrist, which was injured in a January 29 game against the Grizzlies. Beal tried to take a charge against Memphis guard Ja Morant and was injured by the fall.

Beal is days away from getting pins removed from the wrist, Sheppard says, and from there he can begin rehabbing the injury. Sheppard believes the way things went this past season, when Beal’s numbers were down and he only appeared in 40 games, will motivate him moving forward.

“I see stuff about Bradley and I kind of wonder, my goodness, are we talking about the same player? He’s a special player, one of the best at his position in the NBA… It’s not a revenge tour or anything like that, but he wants to reassert that ‘Hey, I’m one of the top players in the league,'” Sheppard said.

It was just 11 months ago Beal finished the 2020-21 season as the leading scorer in the Eastern Conference for the second straight year. Sheppard and the Wizards believe he’s a lot closer to that guy than the one we saw this past season, and it sounds like Beal is ready to prove that in a Washington uniform.

How much better did the Wizards get at 3-point shooting this summer?

How much better did the Wizards get at 3-point shooting? originally appeared on NBC Sports WashingtonThe Wizards made a series of moves last summer to improve their 3-point shooting and, on paper, it appeared that they did. After they finished the 2020-21 season 28th in 3-pointers made (10.2/g) and 23rd in percentage (35.1), they added players like Kentavious Caldwell-Pope via trade and Corey Kispert through the draft. NBC Sports Washington did the math on what their newly compiled roster shot the year before and figured the Wizards had a chance to be league average from 3-point range.They were far from that. In fact, they somehow got worse. The Wizards in 2021-22 made the fewest threes of any team (10.5.g) and ranked 26th in percentage (34.2). It was a cautionary tale of how not everything goes according to plan. Davis Bertans became a shell of himself, while Bradley Beal shot a career-low percentage from long range, combining with Spencer Dinwiddie to form one of the least efficient backcourts in the league.In the modern NBA, 3-point shooting is king and the Wizards really struggled in that department. It was a prohibitive problem.So, the Wizards set out this summer once again with 3-point shooting in mind. They brought in three players in particular who should help their cause; Monte Morris, Will Barton and Delon Wright. All three should play key roles in the rotation, with Morris projected to start at point guard and Barton possibly at the three.There should also be a chance for improvement from within. Rui Hachimura made a significant leap with his 3-point shooting last season, but only for half of the year. If he plays a full season shooting a similar percentage, that should make a difference.Kristaps Porzingis should also give the Wizards more 3-point shooting at the center position after only playing 17 games for them last year. Kispert could be more consistent and better than he was as a rookie. Deni Avdija could come back with a better outside shot after his first full and healthy offseason.But setting aside those best-case scenarios, let's first go strictly off of what these guys shot last year. Let's look at the 11 veteran players most likely to be in the rotation and tally up the score. Here is what they shot last year:Will Barton 157/430 (36.5%)Kyle Kuzma 128/375 (34.1%)Monte Morris 124/314 (39.5%)Corey Kispert 112/320 (35%)Deni Avdija 82/259 (31.7%)Kristaps Porzingis 78/252 (31.0%)Bradley Beal 63/210 (30%)Rui Hachimura 55/123 (44.7%)Delon Wright 44/116 (37.9%)Taj Gibson 15/38 (39.5%)Daniel Gafford 0/1 (0.00%)(this list excludes Johnny Davis, who is entering his rookie season)If you take their makes and attempts and average everything out, this rotation shot 35.2% last season. According to Basketball Reference, the league average 3-point percentage last season was 35.4%. So, the Wizards would be right about in the middle of the league. The San Antonio Spurs shot 35.2% last season as a team and placed 18th among 30 NBA teams.Even shooting league average from three, or just below that threshold, would represent a major step forward for the Wizards. They went 35-47 last season, yet were 26-22 when they made at least 10 threes. Conversely, the Wizards went 9-25 when they made fewer than 10 threes.Just because the Wizards project to be about league average in terms of 3-point percentage, based on what their players shot last year, doesn't mean that will be the case, as we saw in 2021-22. However, they could also be better than expected if a few things go their way.Here are a couple of factors that could. One is if Beal doesn't shoot a career-worst 3-point percentage again. Another is Kispert shoots for a full season like he did after the All-Star break as a rookie, when he knocked down 38.6%. Like Beal, Porzingis also shot a career-low from long range; maybe that doesn't happen again. And then Hachimura could carry his percentage over a full season, rather than 42 games, or roughly half of one.Let's punch in Beal's numbers from the 2020-21 season when he played in more games and shot a better percentage from three (34.9%). Let's also use Porzingis' career 3-point percentage (35.3%) on the same attempts he shot last year. And let's extrapolate Hachimura's percentage and attempts over a full season, plus Kispert's post-All-Star-break percentage.In the case of all four of those elements going the Wizards' way, the percentage rises to 36.8%. That would have ranked 5th-best in the NBA. Again, though, that would require Beal and Porzingis to shoot about 5% better, Kispert to shoot 38.6% from deep and Hachimura to shoot 44.7% from three for the entire season. It also does not account for volume, which is important to note and harder to apply year-over-year given all the different variables.The more realistic expectation may be that the Wizards will shoot around or just below league average from three. As last year showed, expectation doesn't always match up with reality. But the Wizards appear to have made some progress in terms of 3-point shooting. Perhaps this time it will work as designed.
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