Skip to main content

TIPS Are a Hedge Against Inflation

Inflation hasn’t been much of an issue in recent years, but investors of a certain age will never forget how prices skyrocketed in the late ’70s and early ’80s. Fortunately, investors worried about future inflation have various ways to offset the risk, like owning Treasury inflation-protected securities, or TIPS.

But these days inflation protection might look like a belt with suspenders. If inflation is low, why bother? After all, the most recently issued batch of 10-year TIPS yields just 0.375 percent on top of the inflation rate, which has been running at less than 2 percent.

One reason for owning TIPS is that inflation could pick up as the economy strengthens. Though not many experts forecast a return to the high inflation of past decades, it could be too late to get affordable protection if inflation did flare up, like buying insurance after your house catches fire. And even modest inflation can be destructive for fixed-income investors.

[See: 7 Investment Fees You Might Not Realize You’re Paying.]

Many economists have warned that tax reform package proposed by President Donald Trump will increase federal deficits if they don’t spur enough growth to raise tax revenue.

Holmes Osborne of Osborne Global Investors in Odessa, Missouri, says that inflation could tick up to 3 to 4 percent, making TIPS more appealing.

“Given the fact that TIPS are backed by the government, they can make sense for the right investor,” he says. “You have a security that is backed by the government and you have a good chance of receiving a 3 percent return. The only risk is that the (consumer price index underlying TIPS values) falls, but that rarely happens.”

Investors have various strategies for mitigating inflation risk. One is to avoid floating-rate loans like credit card debt and adjustable-rate mortgages that will charge more if inflation and interest rates go up.

Another is to minimize non-discretionary expenses. Having a home that’s cheaper to support would be a good move if your income loses buying power, for example.

Experts have also long noted that stocks offer a measure of built-in inflation protection. As inflation rises, companies raise the prices charged for goods and services, boosting income and share prices. Of course, inflation also raises labor and materials costs, so stocks don’t offer iron-clad protection. You just don’t know which factors will dominate.

[See: The Best ETFs Retirees Can Buy.]

Inflation is more dangerous to fixed-income investors. If you’re earning virtually nothing in a money market fund, even a modest amount of inflation will turn your gains into losses. More important, rising inflation is usually accompanied by higher interest rates, so older bonds lose value because investors would rather buy newer ones that pay more.

This is where TIPS come in — government bonds that guarantee against loss to inflation. They’ve been around since 1997.

Generally, TIPS pay an interest rate fixed for the life of the bond — five, 10 or 30 years for new bonds, or any period in between if you buy a previously issued bond on the secondary market. But every six months, the bond’s principal is raised to match the inflation rate, or lowered during deflation, which is rare. So the bond value rises with inflation and interest earnings go up as they are applied against growing principal.

TIPS can be purchased directly from the government, bought through a broker or through a mutual fund or exchange-traded fund. The Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities Index Fund, (ticker: VTIP) an ETF that owns TIPS, yields a scant 0.76 percent and has returned an annual average of only 0.59 percent over the past three years. The fund has an expense ratio of 0.05 percent, or $5 per $10,000 invested.

Clearly, investing in TIPS is not a way to get rich. But the chief appeal is protection against loss. Think if it as an alternative to a federally insured bank account — low yield but lots of protection from loss. If inflation ignites and other investments plunge, and the value of bank savings erodes, a TIPS investment that holds steady would look pretty good.

Earlier this year, Morningstar, the market-data firm, looked at TIPS performance in the 20 years since they were created and found TIPS returns had handily beaten inflation during that period. A dollar invested in TIPS in February 1997 would have grown to $2.80 by February 2017, Morningstar said.

Since TIPS prices are governed by supply and demand, the bonds reflect investors’s inflation expectations, and those don’t always match actual inflation.

[See: 7 Dividend Stocks to Watch.]

The bottom line: Nothing provides an absolute guarantee against the ravages of inflation, but TIPS are another tool investors can use to hedge their bets — one with a pretty good track record over long periods.

More from U.S. News

The Top 10 Investment Portfolio for Millennials

8 of the Most Incredible Investments of the 21st Century

6 Ways to Invest in Agriculture

TIPS Are a Hedge Against Inflation originally appeared on usnews.com

Don’t Settle for Student Loans to Pay for Online Education

Online college programs are becoming a more popular choice for prospective students, with one study finding that more than 6 million students enrolled in at least one online course in fall 2015. The popularity of these courses can be attributed in part to their flexibility with working adults' schedules, students' ability to progress more quickly through online programs and, oftentimes, cheaper tuition. [See 10 low-cost online bachelor's programs for out-of-state students.]Online degrees can be beneficial to many college students, but some studies have shown online learners complete their programs at lower rates than students at traditional brick-and-mortar campuses. Individuals with student loans but no degree comprise two-thirds of defaulted borrowers. Though these numbers are not encouraging, just like for traditional programs, there are ways to reduce how much you'll need to borrow for an online program to ensure you won't become one of these statistics. Don't just settle on borrowing student loans to cover the whole cost of your program and living expenses. Instead, start thinking about how to cut costs and cover your balance in different ways, such as the following. -- Grants and scholarships: Even though you are taking an online course, you can still apply and receive grants and scholarships. But your first step should be to complete the Free Application for Federal Student Aid, commonly referred to as the FAFSA, which will allow you to receive a Pell Grant if your expected family contribution is low enough. The EFC criteria and award amounts are adjusted annually, but the 2017-2018 academic year awards range from $606 to $5,920, which could significantly lower the amount you borrow annually. Your next step is to apply for scholarships. You can start by checking online scholarship search engines, such as the Salt Scholarship Search, College Board's BigFuture and Peterson's. But don't forget to take advantage of local organizations and your school's financial aid office. Both may offer scholarships that you can't find with a national scholarship search. [Review these 10 sites to kick off your scholarship search.]For instance, organizations like the Elks Club, Knights of Columbus or the Rotary Club typically offer scholarships annually to local students. Just because you're going to school online doesn't mean you're ineligible. Visit your local library for scholarship listings, and ask around town. You might be surprised how many local organizations offer scholarships. While these scholarships typically aren't large, every little bit counts. Each dollar you receive in a scholarship is a dollar you don't have to borrow and pay interest on. -- Work-study: Another option for online students may be work-study awards. Not all students enrolled in online programs are eligible, but students at some schools -- including, for example, SUNY Empire State College and Liberty University -- are. Work-study awards are not given upfront like scholarships and grants. In most cases, they are an offer to earn up to the awarded amount if you secure an eligible work-study job. While there is a misconception that all work-study jobs must be on campus, students can work for off-campus, nonprofit or public employers as long as the work is in the public's interest. You may be able to work for a for-profit employer if the job is relevant to your course of study. No matter who the outside employer is, it will need to have an established agreement with your college for you to receive work-study funds. Remember, to be eligible for federal financial aid, you must be enrolled and pursuing a degree or certificate. If you're not working toward a credential, Pell Grants and work-study won't be option, but you may still be able to take advantage of private scholarships -- just be sure to read the eligibility criteria carefully. [Explore what to know about financial aid in online programs.]-- Pay as you go: One of the great benefits to enrolling online is the flexible schedule, which can allow you to complete your college coursework around your responsibilities. But prospective students often overlook using their part- or full-time job earnings as an option for paying for college. Almost 80 percent of college students in 2015 worked at least part time while attending classes, according to the National Center for Education Statistics. By budgeting and thinking strategically about your college costs, you can likely reduce your dependence on student loans by paying a portion out of pocket. Many -- but not all -- online programs are less expensive than traditional programs and often have shorter payment periods. Six, eight or 10 weeks are common course durations. Because of the frequency of payments in an online setting, you may be well-placed to pay as you go and possibly avoid borrowing altogether. Attending college online and avoiding student loans may be challenging, but if you are willing to put in the effort, you can limit the amount you need to borrow. More from U.S. News Q&A: Understanding Student Loan Discharge Eligibility Student Loan Refinancing Isn't Right for All Borrowers
Read Next Story