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How To Bet On A Bond Market Collapse

By U.S. News & World Report

The list of high-profile investors and economists warning of a potential bond market collapse is getting longer by the week. Fortunately, for investors looking to hedge their bullish bets or profit off of a bursting bond bubble, there are several investment funds designed to rise as bond prices fall.

Last week, investor and CEO of DoubleLine Capital Jeffrey Gundlach became the latest bond guru to warn investors about an potential spike in interest rates that could cripple the bond market.

According to Gundlach, DoubleLine has been dialing back exposure to high-yield corporate bonds and emerging market debt.

[See: The 9 Best Municipal Bond Funds for Tax-Free Income.]

“When the copper-gold ratio is rising it’s incredibly suggestive that something is going on that might be a little inflationary,” Gundlach says. “It suggests to me yields are going to break out to the upside.”

The copper-gold ratio hit its highest level of the year last week.

Bond prices and bond yields have an inverse relationship, so rising yields means falling bond values for investors.

Gundlach’s comments come just weeks after former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said the bond market is on the precipice of a major collapse.

“The current level of interest rates is abnormally low, and there’s only one direction in which they can go. And when they start, they will be rather rapid,” Greenspan said.

One of the most popular ways for investors to bet against long-term U.S. Treasury bonds is the ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury Exchange-Traded Fund (ticker: TBF), which is structured to rise in value as bond prices fall.

Gundlach specifically mentions high-yield or “junk” bonds as particularly risky. The ProShares Trust ETF ( SJB) is designed to deliver inverse returns to an index comprised of high-yield bonds.

[See: 7 ETFs for a Solid Portfolio Defense.]

While there are no major ETFs that offer inverse exposure to emerging market bonds, both Greenspan and Gundlach warned that rising interest rates will negatively impact stock prices as well. Investors wishing to place bearish bets on the U.S. stock market should consider the ProShares Short S&P 500 ETF ( SH), while those looking to bet on weakness in emerging markets can buy the ProShares Short MSCI Emerging Market ETF ( EUM).

Long-term investors should understand that many of these inverse ETFs hold futures contracts, stock options and other derivatives that are subject to time value decay. These products leave the ETFs susceptible to contango, which can severely erode their returns if held over an extended period of time.

More from U.S. News

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How To Bet On A Bond Market Collapse originally appeared on usnews.com

Don’t Settle for Student Loans to Pay for Online Education

By WTOP Staff
Online college programs are becoming a more popular choice for prospective students, with one study finding that more than 6 million students enrolled in at least one online course in fall 2015. The popularity of these courses can be attributed in part to their flexibility with working adults' schedules, students' ability to progress more quickly through online programs and, oftentimes, cheaper tuition. [See 10 low-cost online bachelor's programs for out-of-state students.]Online degrees can be beneficial to many college students, but some studies have shown online learners complete their programs at lower rates than students at traditional brick-and-mortar campuses. Individuals with student loans but no degree comprise two-thirds of defaulted borrowers. Though these numbers are not encouraging, just like for traditional programs, there are ways to reduce how much you'll need to borrow for an online program to ensure you won't become one of these statistics. Don't just settle on borrowing student loans to cover the whole cost of your program and living expenses. Instead, start thinking about how to cut costs and cover your balance in different ways, such as the following. -- Grants and scholarships: Even though you are taking an online course, you can still apply and receive grants and scholarships. But your first step should be to complete the Free Application for Federal Student Aid, commonly referred to as the FAFSA, which will allow you to receive a Pell Grant if your expected family contribution is low enough. The EFC criteria and award amounts are adjusted annually, but the 2017-2018 academic year awards range from $606 to $5,920, which could significantly lower the amount you borrow annually. Your next step is to apply for scholarships. You can start by checking online scholarship search engines, such as the Salt Scholarship Search, College Board's BigFuture and Peterson's. But don't forget to take advantage of local organizations and your school's financial aid office. Both may offer scholarships that you can't find with a national scholarship search. [Review these 10 sites to kick off your scholarship search.]For instance, organizations like the Elks Club, Knights of Columbus or the Rotary Club typically offer scholarships annually to local students. Just because you're going to school online doesn't mean you're ineligible. Visit your local library for scholarship listings, and ask around town. You might be surprised how many local organizations offer scholarships. While these scholarships typically aren't large, every little bit counts. Each dollar you receive in a scholarship is a dollar you don't have to borrow and pay interest on. -- Work-study: Another option for online students may be work-study awards. Not all students enrolled in online programs are eligible, but students at some schools -- including, for example, SUNY Empire State College and Liberty University -- are. Work-study awards are not given upfront like scholarships and grants. In most cases, they are an offer to earn up to the awarded amount if you secure an eligible work-study job. While there is a misconception that all work-study jobs must be on campus, students can work for off-campus, nonprofit or public employers as long as the work is in the public's interest. You may be able to work for a for-profit employer if the job is relevant to your course of study. No matter who the outside employer is, it will need to have an established agreement with your college for you to receive work-study funds. Remember, to be eligible for federal financial aid, you must be enrolled and pursuing a degree or certificate. If you're not working toward a credential, Pell Grants and work-study won't be option, but you may still be able to take advantage of private scholarships -- just be sure to read the eligibility criteria carefully. [Explore what to know about financial aid in online programs.]-- Pay as you go: One of the great benefits to enrolling online is the flexible schedule, which can allow you to complete your college coursework around your responsibilities. But prospective students often overlook using their part- or full-time job earnings as an option for paying for college. Almost 80 percent of college students in 2015 worked at least part time while attending classes, according to the National Center for Education Statistics. By budgeting and thinking strategically about your college costs, you can likely reduce your dependence on student loans by paying a portion out of pocket. Many -- but not all -- online programs are less expensive than traditional programs and often have shorter payment periods. Six, eight or 10 weeks are common course durations. Because of the frequency of payments in an online setting, you may be well-placed to pay as you go and possibly avoid borrowing altogether. Attending college online and avoiding student loans may be challenging, but if you are willing to put in the effort, you can limit the amount you need to borrow. More from U.S. News Q&A: Understanding Student Loan Discharge Eligibility Student Loan Refinancing Isn't Right for All Borrowers
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