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These Sectors Should Gain From Rising Rates

The Federal Reserve is starting to raise interest rates, and whenever that happens, winning and losing investments will follow. The U.S. central bank has already hiked rates twice, and after a strong July jobs report, the Fed will likely raise rates again, perhaps as early as next month. Investors are keeping an eye on the sectors that might benefit, although which ones depends on the reason for the rate hike.

In this case, the Fed is raising rates in response to economic growth, so sectors that benefit from an improving economy should outperform, market watchers say. The most likely winner, though, is the financial sector, as it has “a chance for significant acceleration,” says Doug Ramsey, chief investment officer for The Leuthold Group in Minneapolis. Many financial businesses stand to gain from both higher rates and the upward swing of the economic cycle.

Banks are the obvious but not the only winners in the financial sector. Higher rates will allow spreads to widen and profits to increase, says Bruce Bittles, chief investment strategist for Baird in Sarasota, Florida. The spread is the difference between what banks pay savers and what they charge borrowers, and it’s how banks make money, says Eric Ervin, chief executive officer of Reality Shares in San Diego. With rising rates, banks can charge borrowers more for a loan. It’s “an opportunity for them,” Ervin says.

[See: 11 Ways to Buy Bank Stocks.]

Although rates that are too high can discourage borrowing, “we’re a long way from there,” Ramsey says. The 10-year Treasury note would have to rise to 4 percent for banks to begin hurting, he says. The current yield for the 10-year note is around 2.37 percent.

In addition, there’s some doubt as to how much leeway the Fed has to raise rates. Bittles doesn’t expect the Fed to raise rates drastically because there is still so much debt left over from the credit crisis. Also, he says, an aggressive rate hike would likely cause the stock market to fall, potentially rippling out to hurt the economy, something the Fed may not want to risk.

Elsewhere in the financial sector, brokerage firms like Charles Schwab Corp. (NYSE: SCHW) and TD Ameritrade Holding Corp. ( AMTD) could also benefit from rising rates.

“They have enormous cash balances that are just sitting in money market funds,” Ervin says. “They haven’t been able to charge the fees (on the cash balances) because the interest rates were so low. If rates start to rise they can start charging those fees again.”

Plus, Ervin says, if the stock market continues to strengthen, people will “move money out of cash and start trading more,” generating more revenue for the brokerages.

Investors can get broad-based exposure to financials through a popular, liquid exchange-traded fund, the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF ( XLF).

Any pickup in the economy usually means more demand for commodities and other raw materials. Unlike financials, where the benefits from rising rates extend more broadly, the support for raw materials may be nuanced and vary by sector.

[See: The New Sector Funds: 10 Thematic ETFs.]

That’s the case for oil and the energy sector now. “Normally, rising rates helps the energy sector, but there are bigger issues going on with energy. You might not get the big assist from oil you normally get,” Ramsey says. He refers to the continued crude oil glut, which is weighing on oil prices.

Commodities like copper, which rallied this year, may continue to benefit from the strong economy. Copper can be traded via the futures market, or with an exchange-traded note. The biggest copper ETN by assets under management is the iPath Bloomberg Copper Subindex Total Return ETN ( JJC).

Also standing to gain from higher demand for raw materials in a strong economy are the materials and industrials sectors.

“You could see those sectors outperform,” Ramsey says.

If plans to improve infrastructure get through Congress, the materials and industrials sectors would benefit even further from an increase in federal spending, Ervin says.

Economic growth should also be a boon to information technology. Individuals and companies are more likely to spend money upgrading software systems and revamping older computer systems when times are good and the outlook for the economy is strong. Investors should look for IT companies with low debt because rising interest rates will hamper companies with heavy debt loads.

Bittles says investors may also want to consider hedging their bets with sectors that aren’t tied to higher rates, thereby building in a cushion for the inevitable downward shift in the economic cycle.

[See: 7 Stocks to Buy When a Recession Hits.]

“One sector that might be immune to a rise in rates is health care because it’s not as sensitive to the economy as others,” he says.

More from U.S. News

High-Tech Investing: 7 Sectors to Watch

Oil ETFs: 8 Ways to Invest in Black Gold

9 of the Market’s Best Growth Stocks

These Sectors Should Gain From Rising Rates originally appeared on usnews.com

Don’t Settle for Student Loans to Pay for Online Education

Online college programs are becoming a more popular choice for prospective students, with one study finding that more than 6 million students enrolled in at least one online course in fall 2015. The popularity of these courses can be attributed in part to their flexibility with working adults' schedules, students' ability to progress more quickly through online programs and, oftentimes, cheaper tuition. [See 10 low-cost online bachelor's programs for out-of-state students.]Online degrees can be beneficial to many college students, but some studies have shown online learners complete their programs at lower rates than students at traditional brick-and-mortar campuses. Individuals with student loans but no degree comprise two-thirds of defaulted borrowers. Though these numbers are not encouraging, just like for traditional programs, there are ways to reduce how much you'll need to borrow for an online program to ensure you won't become one of these statistics. Don't just settle on borrowing student loans to cover the whole cost of your program and living expenses. Instead, start thinking about how to cut costs and cover your balance in different ways, such as the following. -- Grants and scholarships: Even though you are taking an online course, you can still apply and receive grants and scholarships. But your first step should be to complete the Free Application for Federal Student Aid, commonly referred to as the FAFSA, which will allow you to receive a Pell Grant if your expected family contribution is low enough. The EFC criteria and award amounts are adjusted annually, but the 2017-2018 academic year awards range from $606 to $5,920, which could significantly lower the amount you borrow annually. Your next step is to apply for scholarships. You can start by checking online scholarship search engines, such as the Salt Scholarship Search, College Board's BigFuture and Peterson's. 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Not all students enrolled in online programs are eligible, but students at some schools -- including, for example, SUNY Empire State College and Liberty University -- are. Work-study awards are not given upfront like scholarships and grants. In most cases, they are an offer to earn up to the awarded amount if you secure an eligible work-study job. While there is a misconception that all work-study jobs must be on campus, students can work for off-campus, nonprofit or public employers as long as the work is in the public's interest. You may be able to work for a for-profit employer if the job is relevant to your course of study. No matter who the outside employer is, it will need to have an established agreement with your college for you to receive work-study funds. Remember, to be eligible for federal financial aid, you must be enrolled and pursuing a degree or certificate. If you're not working toward a credential, Pell Grants and work-study won't be option, but you may still be able to take advantage of private scholarships -- just be sure to read the eligibility criteria carefully. [Explore what to know about financial aid in online programs.]-- Pay as you go: One of the great benefits to enrolling online is the flexible schedule, which can allow you to complete your college coursework around your responsibilities. But prospective students often overlook using their part- or full-time job earnings as an option for paying for college. Almost 80 percent of college students in 2015 worked at least part time while attending classes, according to the National Center for Education Statistics. By budgeting and thinking strategically about your college costs, you can likely reduce your dependence on student loans by paying a portion out of pocket. Many -- but not all -- online programs are less expensive than traditional programs and often have shorter payment periods. Six, eight or 10 weeks are common course durations. Because of the frequency of payments in an online setting, you may be well-placed to pay as you go and possibly avoid borrowing altogether. Attending college online and avoiding student loans may be challenging, but if you are willing to put in the effort, you can limit the amount you need to borrow. More from U.S. News Q&A: Understanding Student Loan Discharge Eligibility Student Loan Refinancing Isn't Right for All Borrowers
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