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Portfolio Analysis: A Captainless $1.58 Million Portfolio

Has your financial advisor contacted you lately? It matters because global stock markets are down and if you’re portfolio is down even more, it could be a sign of major flaws with your portfolio’s design. Often, flaws that are camouflaged by rising markets are exposed and exploited in declining markets.

Ultimately, advisors should take responsibility for the investment recommendations they make and the advice given should always be suitable to a person’s age, risk tolerance and life circumstances. Sadly, some financial professionals — even those with years of experience and a handsome-looking resume — don’t operate this way.

My latest portfolio report card is for B.R., a 79-year old widow from New Jersey with a $1,585,000 investment account divided across an inherited IRA, family trust and taxable brokerage account. She became concerned about her investments when her financial advisor abruptly resigned from her account and left her hanging.

B.R. says generating income from her portfolio is the most crucial aspect of her investment plan. Nevertheless, she describes her investment strategy: “Honestly, I leave it up to the advisor. I just need to pay off my mortgage, bills and my goal is to enjoy life without touching the principal.”

What kind of grade does B.R.’s investment portfolio get?

Security/Asset

Ticker

Value

Asset Class

Money market

SWMXX

$393,388

Cash

WisdomTree Europe Hedged Equity

HEDJ

$236,755

Stocks

ProShares UltraShort 7-10 Yr US Tsy

UST

$145,649

Short bonds

Vanguard US REIT

VNQ

$80,540

US Real Estate

iShares Gold

IAU

$75,922

Gold

WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity

DXJ

$75,290

Stocks

ProShares UltraPro Short Dow 30

SDOW

$65,178

Short stocks

Pimco 15+ Yr US TIPS

LTPZ

$63,263

US TIPS

ProShares Short Emerging Mkts

EUM

$39,415

Short stocks

UBS Alerian MLP Infrastructure ETN

MLPI

$36,701

MLP

Top 10 holdings value

$1,212,101

Cost. Cutting investment cost, commissions, and ongoing asset fees should be a priority for all investors. Why? Because the less you spend, the more you keep. How does B.R. do?

The portfolio includes 17 exchange-traded funds, six stocks and cash. Annual fund expenses on the ETFs range from 0.12 percent to 0.95 percent, and the advisory fee of 0.95 percent pushes up the cost of this portfolio to just over $22,000 annually (including both fund and advisory fees).

The cost of B.R.’s portfolio is 7 times higher versus a blended benchmark of index ETFs matching her same asset mix.

Diversification. Investment portfolios missing broad market exposure to the five major asset classes — stocks, bonds, commodities, real estate and cash — do not pass the diversification grade.

It’s nice to see that B.R.’s portfolio has exposure to U.S. and international stocks, U.S. real estate, bonds, commodities and cash. However, most of the ETFs being used for exposure to these areas within her portfolio are narrowly focused or speculative funds that use leverage with long/short exposure.

A closer look at B.R.’s top 10 portfolio holdings also reveals that only one fund — the Vanguard REIT ETF (ticker: VNQ) — is really a core building block with broad exposure, while the remaining holdings are concentrated in non-core funds with a tactical flair. Her advisor has erringly built the core of B.R.’s portfolio using non-core assets. It’s faulty construction that’s akin to building a summer beach house in the Rocky Mountains.

Risk. B.R.’s overall asset mix is 45.5 percent stocks, 7 percent bonds, 18 percent U.S. real estate, 4.7 percent gold and 24.8 percent cash. Although income and preserving capital is her main goal, her advisor has purchased ETFs that short stocks, bonds and currencies and made them among her top holdings.

Another way to view B.R.’s portfolio is to ask how would it perform during a bear market. A market decline of 20 to 40 percent would subject her combined portfolios to significant potential market losses of $237,000 to $474,000. In other words, even with almost one-quarter of her portfolio in cash, she still wouldn’t be shielded from a severe setback.

Taxes. The bulk of B.R.’s assets are held in a tax-deferred IRA ($1.3 million), however the remaining portion is invested in taxable accounts with dividend-paying real estate investment trusts, such as Annaly Capital Management (NLY) and W.P. Carey (WPC) as the main holdings. Why didn’t her advisor take deliberate steps to minimize her tax liabilities by holding REITs inside her tax-deferred IRA?

B.R.’s portfolio could definitely use some smarter asset location and her advisor clearly never earned the 0.95 percent fee he’s been siphoning from her account.

Performance. Regardless of whether the stock market is up or down, your investment performance will either confirm or deny the architectural soundness of your portfolio’s design. Additionally, the attention you give — or fail to give — to cost, risk, diversification and taxes has a direct influence on your bottom-line results.

Over the past year, B.R.’s portfolio fell 2.9 percent (-$51,641) compared to a gain of 1.72 percent for the index benchmark matching this same asset mix. She underperformed the benchmark by significant margin of 4.62 percent.

The final grade. B.R.’s final portfolio report card grade is “D” (poor). This means her portfolio scored poorly in all five grading categories and has major structural flaws.

A 20 to 40 percent market decline would inflict serious damage to her net worth and could force her to make uncomfortable lifestyle changes. Diversification is sloppy and omits core holdings with broad and low-cost exposure to the major asset classes.

Moreover, her advisor incorrectly used non-core assets like long/short ETFs and sector commodities funds for her portfolio’s core instead of using broadly diversified building blocks. And now that he’s bailed, his mistakes have been compounded by a portfolio without a captain. Putting a 79-year old widow into fastmoving tactical funds when her goal is simply to generate safe income is downright negligent.

More from U.S. News

8 ETFs for Investors Who Love Value

10 Tips for Keeping a Cool Head in a Market Meltdown

Chinese ETFs: 9 Ways to Play the Middle Kingdom

Portfolio Analysis: A Captainless $1.58 Million Portfolio originally appeared on usnews.com

Don’t Settle for Student Loans to Pay for Online Education

Online college programs are becoming a more popular choice for prospective students, with one study finding that more than 6 million students enrolled in at least one online course in fall 2015. The popularity of these courses can be attributed in part to their flexibility with working adults' schedules, students' ability to progress more quickly through online programs and, oftentimes, cheaper tuition. [See 10 low-cost online bachelor's programs for out-of-state students.]Online degrees can be beneficial to many college students, but some studies have shown online learners complete their programs at lower rates than students at traditional brick-and-mortar campuses. Individuals with student loans but no degree comprise two-thirds of defaulted borrowers. Though these numbers are not encouraging, just like for traditional programs, there are ways to reduce how much you'll need to borrow for an online program to ensure you won't become one of these statistics. Don't just settle on borrowing student loans to cover the whole cost of your program and living expenses. Instead, start thinking about how to cut costs and cover your balance in different ways, such as the following. -- Grants and scholarships: Even though you are taking an online course, you can still apply and receive grants and scholarships. But your first step should be to complete the Free Application for Federal Student Aid, commonly referred to as the FAFSA, which will allow you to receive a Pell Grant if your expected family contribution is low enough. The EFC criteria and award amounts are adjusted annually, but the 2017-2018 academic year awards range from $606 to $5,920, which could significantly lower the amount you borrow annually. Your next step is to apply for scholarships. You can start by checking online scholarship search engines, such as the Salt Scholarship Search, College Board's BigFuture and Peterson's. But don't forget to take advantage of local organizations and your school's financial aid office. Both may offer scholarships that you can't find with a national scholarship search. [Review these 10 sites to kick off your scholarship search.]For instance, organizations like the Elks Club, Knights of Columbus or the Rotary Club typically offer scholarships annually to local students. Just because you're going to school online doesn't mean you're ineligible. Visit your local library for scholarship listings, and ask around town. You might be surprised how many local organizations offer scholarships. While these scholarships typically aren't large, every little bit counts. Each dollar you receive in a scholarship is a dollar you don't have to borrow and pay interest on. -- Work-study: Another option for online students may be work-study awards. Not all students enrolled in online programs are eligible, but students at some schools -- including, for example, SUNY Empire State College and Liberty University -- are. Work-study awards are not given upfront like scholarships and grants. In most cases, they are an offer to earn up to the awarded amount if you secure an eligible work-study job. While there is a misconception that all work-study jobs must be on campus, students can work for off-campus, nonprofit or public employers as long as the work is in the public's interest. You may be able to work for a for-profit employer if the job is relevant to your course of study. No matter who the outside employer is, it will need to have an established agreement with your college for you to receive work-study funds. Remember, to be eligible for federal financial aid, you must be enrolled and pursuing a degree or certificate. If you're not working toward a credential, Pell Grants and work-study won't be option, but you may still be able to take advantage of private scholarships -- just be sure to read the eligibility criteria carefully. [Explore what to know about financial aid in online programs.]-- Pay as you go: One of the great benefits to enrolling online is the flexible schedule, which can allow you to complete your college coursework around your responsibilities. But prospective students often overlook using their part- or full-time job earnings as an option for paying for college. Almost 80 percent of college students in 2015 worked at least part time while attending classes, according to the National Center for Education Statistics. By budgeting and thinking strategically about your college costs, you can likely reduce your dependence on student loans by paying a portion out of pocket. Many -- but not all -- online programs are less expensive than traditional programs and often have shorter payment periods. Six, eight or 10 weeks are common course durations. Because of the frequency of payments in an online setting, you may be well-placed to pay as you go and possibly avoid borrowing altogether. Attending college online and avoiding student loans may be challenging, but if you are willing to put in the effort, you can limit the amount you need to borrow. More from U.S. News Q&A: Understanding Student Loan Discharge Eligibility Student Loan Refinancing Isn't Right for All Borrowers
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