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Starbucks: 4 Things To Know About SBUX Stock

Lattes and cappuccinos aren’t the drinks of economic struggles. As consumers tighten their purse strings, the once-a-day latte fix is often the first thing to go.

That’s why the recent performance of Starbucks Corp. (ticker: SBUX) — up 39 percent in the past year — has optimists hopeful that the hiccups in the market are only short term. But there’s far more to Starbucks than simply coffee.

Through efforts in food, supplying grocery store aisles and international expansion, Starbucks has become a coffee conglomerate. “It’s one of the more dynamic stories in the broader consumer space,” says RJ Hottovy, an analyst for Morningstar, the Chicago-based ratings and data firm.

Starbucks has transitioned from a coffee shop into one of the stronger growth companies in the consumer space. But lingering questions remain: Is Starbucks doing too much all at once? And will its efforts take hold?

Food has become a growth driver. In 2014, Starbucks made a commitment to double sales of food items in its coffee shops over five years by increasing its focus on lunch and dinner.

While it is starting to see that effort come to fruition, Starbucks’ menu items got off to a slow start because it had “no credibility around the brand,” says Nick Setyan, senior vice president of equity research for Wedbush Securities in Los Angeles.

Fortunately for the company, Starbucks purchased a San Francisco bakery chain, La Boulange, in 2012. It closed the chain in 2015 because it was unable to take the brand national — but it’s now using the recipes in Starbucks stores, increasing the quality and quantity of its food offerings. “La Boulange was a genius transaction,” Setyan says. “It gave them credibility.”

The other force behind food’s growth — which now accounts for around 20 percent of Starbucks’ revenues — is the company’s increased use in mobile tools, particularly from its smartphone app. Starbucks has long been on the leading edge of consumer interaction, offering discounts and nudging customers to encourage repeat visits to its stores.

Food sales at Starbucks were up almost 20 percent from a year ago in its most recent quarterly earnings, providing a nice boost for SBUX stock.

K-cups offer great margins. Individual servings of pre-packaged coffee offer Starbucks an opportunity to achieve something retail stores can’t: great margins. The consumer packaged goods division makes up 8 percent of Starbucks’ total revenues, driven by the 40 percent margins on its single-serving coffee sold in K-cups, Hottovy says. Retail stores can expect only a 20 percent return on coffee sales, he says.

Starbucks is gaining market share against K-cup originator Keurig Green Mountain (GMCR), increasing sales by 22 percent in the past two years. Keurig was bought out in December by a private company, JAB Holding Co., and will go private — a move that may make the company more conservative in growth, Setyan says. That could give Starbucks an even better opportunity to expand its market share.

But Starbucks isn’t just sticking to expand in the grocery aisle. It’s also stepping up efforts of its Teavana subsidiary that it purchased in 2012. While the tea stores account for only a small percentage of Starbucks’ 9 percent same-store sales growth in the U.S., Teavana is among Starbucks’ fastest-growing brands.

China’s growth has a buffer. There are concerns among analysts that the Chinese economy has finally hit a wall, now that its gross domestic product grew only 6.8 percent in the fourth quarter of 2015 — still staggeringly good by most standards, but a drop for China — and the stock market is riding a wild wave. Starbucks has 2,000 shops in China and plans to reach 3,400 stores by 2019.

“Those stores are doing double of profitability and return on investment than the U.S.,” Setyan says. “Even if tomorrow sales would collapse by half, it would still be as successful as the U.S.”

Part of the reason Starbucks seems safe from China’s struggle is because Beijing is transitioning from a manufacturing economy to a consumer-based economy. This has led to macroeconomic struggles, but consumer companies such as Starbucks can benefit from the change.

“They were the ones to define what it means to drink coffee in the U.S.,” Setyan says. “They can define the coffee culture in China.”

SBUX stock may be worth the price. One overarching cause for trepidation that investors should worry about is whether Starbucks has too much on its plate. “The largest concern is: ‘Are you juggling too many things at once?'” Morningstar’s Hottovy says. “There are a lot of balls in the air.”

But Hottovy believes that the company has hired the right talent to manage the various initiatives, which allows Starbucks to move forward at breakneck speed.

The other concern is that Starbucks stock is expensive. With a price-to-earnings ratio of 37, SBUX stock has a ratio 17 percent higher than its peers. But Starbucks plans to increase its stores by 7,000 to 30,000 globally by 2019, pushing revenues from $19 billion in 2015 to $30 billion by 2019. That would ease some investors’ fears.

With these clear targets and strong strategies to reach the benchmarks, Setyan has no problem estimating that SBUX stock will reach $70 per share — a 14 percent increase from its price.

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Starbucks: 4 Things To Know About SBUX Stock originally appeared on usnews.com

Don’t Settle for Student Loans to Pay for Online Education

Online college programs are becoming a more popular choice for prospective students, with one study finding that more than 6 million students enrolled in at least one online course in fall 2015. The popularity of these courses can be attributed in part to their flexibility with working adults' schedules, students' ability to progress more quickly through online programs and, oftentimes, cheaper tuition. [See 10 low-cost online bachelor's programs for out-of-state students.]Online degrees can be beneficial to many college students, but some studies have shown online learners complete their programs at lower rates than students at traditional brick-and-mortar campuses. Individuals with student loans but no degree comprise two-thirds of defaulted borrowers. Though these numbers are not encouraging, just like for traditional programs, there are ways to reduce how much you'll need to borrow for an online program to ensure you won't become one of these statistics. Don't just settle on borrowing student loans to cover the whole cost of your program and living expenses. Instead, start thinking about how to cut costs and cover your balance in different ways, such as the following. -- Grants and scholarships: Even though you are taking an online course, you can still apply and receive grants and scholarships. But your first step should be to complete the Free Application for Federal Student Aid, commonly referred to as the FAFSA, which will allow you to receive a Pell Grant if your expected family contribution is low enough. The EFC criteria and award amounts are adjusted annually, but the 2017-2018 academic year awards range from $606 to $5,920, which could significantly lower the amount you borrow annually. Your next step is to apply for scholarships. You can start by checking online scholarship search engines, such as the Salt Scholarship Search, College Board's BigFuture and Peterson's. But don't forget to take advantage of local organizations and your school's financial aid office. Both may offer scholarships that you can't find with a national scholarship search. [Review these 10 sites to kick off your scholarship search.]For instance, organizations like the Elks Club, Knights of Columbus or the Rotary Club typically offer scholarships annually to local students. Just because you're going to school online doesn't mean you're ineligible. Visit your local library for scholarship listings, and ask around town. You might be surprised how many local organizations offer scholarships. While these scholarships typically aren't large, every little bit counts. Each dollar you receive in a scholarship is a dollar you don't have to borrow and pay interest on. -- Work-study: Another option for online students may be work-study awards. Not all students enrolled in online programs are eligible, but students at some schools -- including, for example, SUNY Empire State College and Liberty University -- are. Work-study awards are not given upfront like scholarships and grants. In most cases, they are an offer to earn up to the awarded amount if you secure an eligible work-study job. While there is a misconception that all work-study jobs must be on campus, students can work for off-campus, nonprofit or public employers as long as the work is in the public's interest. You may be able to work for a for-profit employer if the job is relevant to your course of study. No matter who the outside employer is, it will need to have an established agreement with your college for you to receive work-study funds. Remember, to be eligible for federal financial aid, you must be enrolled and pursuing a degree or certificate. If you're not working toward a credential, Pell Grants and work-study won't be option, but you may still be able to take advantage of private scholarships -- just be sure to read the eligibility criteria carefully. [Explore what to know about financial aid in online programs.]-- Pay as you go: One of the great benefits to enrolling online is the flexible schedule, which can allow you to complete your college coursework around your responsibilities. But prospective students often overlook using their part- or full-time job earnings as an option for paying for college. Almost 80 percent of college students in 2015 worked at least part time while attending classes, according to the National Center for Education Statistics. By budgeting and thinking strategically about your college costs, you can likely reduce your dependence on student loans by paying a portion out of pocket. Many -- but not all -- online programs are less expensive than traditional programs and often have shorter payment periods. Six, eight or 10 weeks are common course durations. Because of the frequency of payments in an online setting, you may be well-placed to pay as you go and possibly avoid borrowing altogether. Attending college online and avoiding student loans may be challenging, but if you are willing to put in the effort, you can limit the amount you need to borrow. More from U.S. News Q&A: Understanding Student Loan Discharge Eligibility Student Loan Refinancing Isn't Right for All Borrowers
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