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EBay Stock Meets the Street, Keeps its Feet for Now

The online auction site eBay (ticker: EBAY) has come a long way since 1995, when a Paris-born Iranian-American named Pierre Omidyar listed a single broken laser pointer as the first item up for grabs. It was probably worthless, but think how much that item would fetch now as a pop culture artifact.

Yet where pop culture junkies collect their trinkets, investors have spoils of another kind in mind. And with eBay’s fourth-quarter earnings report, released after the market closed Wednesday, mixed signals might at least compel them to make a calculated, cautious call to “buy it now.”

First the good news: Adjusted earnings of 50 cents a share and revenues of $2.3 billion met Wall Street expectations. EBay’s active buyer base also grew 5 percent to 162 million. But the company issued weaker-than-expected guidance for the current quarter, forecasting quarterly revenue of $2.05 billion to $2.1 billion and adjusted earnings per share of 43 to 45 cents. Analysts had forecast $2.16 in revenue and EPS of 48 cents, so the disappointing forecast sent investors fleeing to safety — EBAY stock fell more than 12 percent in after-hours trading.

“EBay’s revenue growth rate has slowed, but it generates good cash flows and has a lot of cash on hand, which it should probably use to begin paying a dividend,” says Stephen Ciccone, associate professor of finance and department chairman at the Peter T. Paul College of Business and Economics in Durham, New Hampshire.

At the very least, eBay stock has a compelling past. Omidyar became an instant billionaire at 31 with eBay’s initial public offering in 1998. He certainly padded that nest egg even more when eBay spun off PayPal (PYPL), its payments arm, in July.

But in terms of that spinoff, it’s generated all the momentum of four broken Hot Wheels up for auction. After the July 20 spin date, PayPal’s stock has sunk 20 percent, although it’s up dramatically following PayPal’s own positive quarterly earnings report this week. As for eBay, its stock hasn’t fared much better: off 7 percent post-PayPal IPO.

Grumpy Wall Street types could well blame activist investor and multibillionaire Carl Icahn. He’s made headlines of late for his recent round of salvos aimed at breaking up the insurance colossus American International Group (AIG) — to which the company responded Tuesday with partial concessions. But before that, Icahn pushed to split eBay in two, a process eBay started in late 2014.

As a result, “eBay’s potential is probably not as explosive as it once was,” Ciccone says. Yet before the spin, it was “a good performing stock in recent times, beating the S&P 500 over the past five years.”

Could it recover at least some of that mojo? Ciccone singles out some bright spots that, at the very least, could signal a solid future. “EBay has handily outperformed the much-hyped competitor Alibaba (Group Holding, BABA) since Alibaba started trading in September 2014,” he says. “And because of the nature of its business, eBay’s costs are low, which leads to relatively high margins.”

Positive as those signs are, analysts can be picky in their assessments; they don’t buy stock at online auctions, after all. The consensus reflects something of a split: Hours before the earnings report, seven analysts called eBay a “strong buy,” but more than twice as many (16) labeled it a “hold” — while one placed it in the “underperform” category.

Meanwhile, potential bad news for eBay is both present and forward-looking. It begins at the grass roots level with consumer dissatisfaction over sales fees — which has opened doors for niche competitors. Reverb.com, a Chicago-based musical instrument sales site, has picked up substantial market share; it charges a 3.5 percent flat fee per item sold, while eBay charges 10 percent.

EBay also lags far behind in terms of a social media component. “Sites that offer a unique social experience such as Etsy (ETSY) and Poshmark are also posing a challenge to the merchant business at eBay,” says D.J. Shaughnessy, portfolio manager at F.L. Putnam Investment Management Co.

The Internet’s big dogs are also sifting around eBay’s door. “From above, the looming shadow of Amazon (AMZN) is ever present and now eBay is faced with the emerging capability and deep pockets of Facebook (FB) and Google (GOOG),” Shaughnessy says.

There’s a positive perspective investor skeptics need to consider, says Eddie Miller, a serial entrepreneur who operates more than 17,000 domains under WeSell.com. “EBay is likely to benefit from the increase in interest that Americans have in e-commerce, not to mention the rise in interest on a global scale. EBay is looking more and more like a value stock, and those looking to invest in the tech sector would be well served to invest in the company.”

And while an eBuy, if you will, doesn’t seem sexy, experts say you might just get safety. As Ciccone puts it, “EBay may not be the most exciting stock to hold in its lower growth, post-PayPal form. But it has been a reliable performer.”

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EBay Stock Meets the Street, Keeps its Feet for Now originally appeared on usnews.com

Don’t Settle for Student Loans to Pay for Online Education

Online college programs are becoming a more popular choice for prospective students, with one study finding that more than 6 million students enrolled in at least one online course in fall 2015. The popularity of these courses can be attributed in part to their flexibility with working adults' schedules, students' ability to progress more quickly through online programs and, oftentimes, cheaper tuition. [See 10 low-cost online bachelor's programs for out-of-state students.]Online degrees can be beneficial to many college students, but some studies have shown online learners complete their programs at lower rates than students at traditional brick-and-mortar campuses. Individuals with student loans but no degree comprise two-thirds of defaulted borrowers. Though these numbers are not encouraging, just like for traditional programs, there are ways to reduce how much you'll need to borrow for an online program to ensure you won't become one of these statistics. Don't just settle on borrowing student loans to cover the whole cost of your program and living expenses. Instead, start thinking about how to cut costs and cover your balance in different ways, such as the following. -- Grants and scholarships: Even though you are taking an online course, you can still apply and receive grants and scholarships. But your first step should be to complete the Free Application for Federal Student Aid, commonly referred to as the FAFSA, which will allow you to receive a Pell Grant if your expected family contribution is low enough. The EFC criteria and award amounts are adjusted annually, but the 2017-2018 academic year awards range from $606 to $5,920, which could significantly lower the amount you borrow annually. Your next step is to apply for scholarships. You can start by checking online scholarship search engines, such as the Salt Scholarship Search, College Board's BigFuture and Peterson's. But don't forget to take advantage of local organizations and your school's financial aid office. Both may offer scholarships that you can't find with a national scholarship search. [Review these 10 sites to kick off your scholarship search.]For instance, organizations like the Elks Club, Knights of Columbus or the Rotary Club typically offer scholarships annually to local students. Just because you're going to school online doesn't mean you're ineligible. Visit your local library for scholarship listings, and ask around town. You might be surprised how many local organizations offer scholarships. While these scholarships typically aren't large, every little bit counts. Each dollar you receive in a scholarship is a dollar you don't have to borrow and pay interest on. -- Work-study: Another option for online students may be work-study awards. Not all students enrolled in online programs are eligible, but students at some schools -- including, for example, SUNY Empire State College and Liberty University -- are. Work-study awards are not given upfront like scholarships and grants. In most cases, they are an offer to earn up to the awarded amount if you secure an eligible work-study job. While there is a misconception that all work-study jobs must be on campus, students can work for off-campus, nonprofit or public employers as long as the work is in the public's interest. You may be able to work for a for-profit employer if the job is relevant to your course of study. No matter who the outside employer is, it will need to have an established agreement with your college for you to receive work-study funds. Remember, to be eligible for federal financial aid, you must be enrolled and pursuing a degree or certificate. If you're not working toward a credential, Pell Grants and work-study won't be option, but you may still be able to take advantage of private scholarships -- just be sure to read the eligibility criteria carefully. [Explore what to know about financial aid in online programs.]-- Pay as you go: One of the great benefits to enrolling online is the flexible schedule, which can allow you to complete your college coursework around your responsibilities. But prospective students often overlook using their part- or full-time job earnings as an option for paying for college. Almost 80 percent of college students in 2015 worked at least part time while attending classes, according to the National Center for Education Statistics. By budgeting and thinking strategically about your college costs, you can likely reduce your dependence on student loans by paying a portion out of pocket. Many -- but not all -- online programs are less expensive than traditional programs and often have shorter payment periods. Six, eight or 10 weeks are common course durations. Because of the frequency of payments in an online setting, you may be well-placed to pay as you go and possibly avoid borrowing altogether. Attending college online and avoiding student loans may be challenging, but if you are willing to put in the effort, you can limit the amount you need to borrow. More from U.S. News Q&A: Understanding Student Loan Discharge Eligibility Student Loan Refinancing Isn't Right for All Borrowers
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