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GOP’s midterm strength could be problem in 2016

NICHOLAS RICCARDI
Associated Press

DENVER (AP) — Republican strength in this year’s House and Senate races could, strangely enough, hurt the party’s presidential chances by stalling the changes in style and policy advocated after Mitt Romney’s defeat in the 2012 presidential campaign.

GOP officials and strategists say it’s hard to persuade party leaders to adjust the political recipe when they feel increasingly upbeat about adding Senate control to their solid House majority this fall. This optimism, numerous GOP strategists say, makes looking past the party’s loss of the popular vote in five of the last six presidential elections easy.

“It’s very difficult to make an argument for change and modernization when you’re winning,” said Joel Sawyer, a former South Carolina GOP official who advises campaigns in several states. Citing the party’s nationwide reliance on older white voters, Sawyer said, the GOP needs “to start modernizing now to become relevant to younger voters and nonwhite voters.”

The party’s dilemma was in sharp relief in a Denver public television studio here, where four candidates gathered for a Republican primary debate in the race to represent the deeply conservative, rural and exurban 4th Congressional District, which covers the eastern third of the state.

All the candidates said they oppose gay marriage, want to repeal President Barack Obama’s health care plan and object to allowing people living in the country illegally to become citizens.

The front-runner in the Colorado race, Weld County District Attorney Ken Buck, narrowly lost a U.S. Senate race in 2010 because he was seen as too extreme on issues like abortion and immigration. Now he has been hit in ads by state Sen. Scott Renfroe for “flip-flopping” on those two issues.

“It’s one of the great ironies of Republican politics that we fall victim to,” Buck said in an interview. “I’m very conservative on life, I’m very conservative on immigration, but given enough money” anyone can be attacked for not being pure enough.

Renfroe said: “We need candidates who will stand firmly for what they believe.”

Immigration was an issue singled out by a GOP-commissioned “autopsy report” last year that analyzed Romney’s loss to Obama. The report said Republicans must embrace “comprehensive immigration reform”– Washington shorthand for legalizing the immigration status of those living here illegally_to improve the GOP’s strained relationship with the fast-growing Hispanic and Asian electorate.

The recommendations quickly hit resistance from congressional Republicans who rely on primary voters strongly opposed to “amnesty” for immigrants living here illegally.

The resistance might have softened if Republican lawmakers felt threatened by public disdain for the 2013 government shutdown or by worries of midterm election setbacks this fall. Instead, the shutdown issue faded, and Republicans are having a good primary season.

With all cylinders firing, “it’s harder to hold that conversation about making the party a winner at the national level,” said former Senate Republican staffer John Ullyot.

Republicans’ talk of finding a winning strategy for presidential elections is sometimes drowned out by confident and staunchly conservative lawmakers coasting toward another re-election.

“The age-old conundrum is, do we change who we are to more adequately fit the electoral trends, or do we try to exert the leadership that will change the electoral trends?” said six-term Rep. Trent Franks, R-Ariz. “I am a firm believer in the latter.”

Franks said he’d rather see Republicans lose presidential races than “play to the electorate what our polls tell us, regardless of principle.”

Rep. Kenny Marchant, R-Texas, said Republicans could risk eroding support if “we make drastic changes in our underlying policies” that led to their House majority.

Immigration is the most pivotal issue in his west Dallas district, Marchant said. While some Republicans outside the South find it easy to endorse comprehensive immigration reform, he said, “almost anything you put out has a second- or third-related cousin, and its name is amnesty.”

Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus acknowledges the GOP is “a tale of two parties.”

“We’ve got a midterm party that doesn’t lose, and a presidential party that’s having a hard time winning,” he told The Associated Press in an interview. But Priebus declined to blame the split on policy, be it immigration or budget gridlock, that House Republicans have helped bring about. Instead, he said the party has largely conceded minority and younger voters by not engaging them directly in their communities. He touted the party’s ongoing expansion of field offices aimed at reversing the trend.

But without a presidential race on the ballot this fall, those younger and minority voters are expected to turn out in reduced numbers.

The GOP primary winner is likely to win the 4th District’s seat in Congress. The incumbent, Republican Rep. Cory Gardner, is stepping aside to challenge Democratic Sen. Mark Udall.

Republicans have had a dismal track record in Colorado over the past decade, losing three U.S. Senate races, two presidential contests and one gubernatorial election. The state’s voting population is concentrated in a handful of counties around Denver, far from the 4th District’s wheat farms and exurbs.

But Barbara Kirkmeyer, a Weld County Commissioner who is one of the four primary contenders, said she thinks the GOP’s problem is tied to candidates, not its positions. She noted that a majority of the state’s county commissioners, who represent mostly rural counties, are Republicans.

“We just need to put forward good candidates with experience who stick to their views,” she said.

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Babington reported from Washington. Associated Press writer Bill Barrow in New Orleans contributed to this report.

Copyright 2014 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

Don’t Settle for Student Loans to Pay for Online Education

Online college programs are becoming a more popular choice for prospective students, with one study finding that more than 6 million students enrolled in at least one online course in fall 2015. The popularity of these courses can be attributed in part to their flexibility with working adults' schedules, students' ability to progress more quickly through online programs and, oftentimes, cheaper tuition. [See 10 low-cost online bachelor's programs for out-of-state students.]Online degrees can be beneficial to many college students, but some studies have shown online learners complete their programs at lower rates than students at traditional brick-and-mortar campuses. Individuals with student loans but no degree comprise two-thirds of defaulted borrowers. Though these numbers are not encouraging, just like for traditional programs, there are ways to reduce how much you'll need to borrow for an online program to ensure you won't become one of these statistics. Don't just settle on borrowing student loans to cover the whole cost of your program and living expenses. Instead, start thinking about how to cut costs and cover your balance in different ways, such as the following. -- Grants and scholarships: Even though you are taking an online course, you can still apply and receive grants and scholarships. But your first step should be to complete the Free Application for Federal Student Aid, commonly referred to as the FAFSA, which will allow you to receive a Pell Grant if your expected family contribution is low enough. The EFC criteria and award amounts are adjusted annually, but the 2017-2018 academic year awards range from $606 to $5,920, which could significantly lower the amount you borrow annually. Your next step is to apply for scholarships. You can start by checking online scholarship search engines, such as the Salt Scholarship Search, College Board's BigFuture and Peterson's. But don't forget to take advantage of local organizations and your school's financial aid office. Both may offer scholarships that you can't find with a national scholarship search. [Review these 10 sites to kick off your scholarship search.]For instance, organizations like the Elks Club, Knights of Columbus or the Rotary Club typically offer scholarships annually to local students. Just because you're going to school online doesn't mean you're ineligible. Visit your local library for scholarship listings, and ask around town. You might be surprised how many local organizations offer scholarships. While these scholarships typically aren't large, every little bit counts. Each dollar you receive in a scholarship is a dollar you don't have to borrow and pay interest on. -- Work-study: Another option for online students may be work-study awards. Not all students enrolled in online programs are eligible, but students at some schools -- including, for example, SUNY Empire State College and Liberty University -- are. Work-study awards are not given upfront like scholarships and grants. In most cases, they are an offer to earn up to the awarded amount if you secure an eligible work-study job. While there is a misconception that all work-study jobs must be on campus, students can work for off-campus, nonprofit or public employers as long as the work is in the public's interest. You may be able to work for a for-profit employer if the job is relevant to your course of study. No matter who the outside employer is, it will need to have an established agreement with your college for you to receive work-study funds. Remember, to be eligible for federal financial aid, you must be enrolled and pursuing a degree or certificate. If you're not working toward a credential, Pell Grants and work-study won't be option, but you may still be able to take advantage of private scholarships -- just be sure to read the eligibility criteria carefully. [Explore what to know about financial aid in online programs.]-- Pay as you go: One of the great benefits to enrolling online is the flexible schedule, which can allow you to complete your college coursework around your responsibilities. But prospective students often overlook using their part- or full-time job earnings as an option for paying for college. Almost 80 percent of college students in 2015 worked at least part time while attending classes, according to the National Center for Education Statistics. By budgeting and thinking strategically about your college costs, you can likely reduce your dependence on student loans by paying a portion out of pocket. Many -- but not all -- online programs are less expensive than traditional programs and often have shorter payment periods. Six, eight or 10 weeks are common course durations. Because of the frequency of payments in an online setting, you may be well-placed to pay as you go and possibly avoid borrowing altogether. Attending college online and avoiding student loans may be challenging, but if you are willing to put in the effort, you can limit the amount you need to borrow. More from U.S. News Q&A: Understanding Student Loan Discharge Eligibility Student Loan Refinancing Isn't Right for All Borrowers
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